Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcb594d388b0f49b4cc8a00d0dac3811ec88c115644742536ce06c0bd1687f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.22 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 61c | 1,690$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.21 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 7c | 1,651$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 13c | 1,604$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 1,382$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.92 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 60c | 1,092$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.92 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 37c | 1,032$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.91 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 37c | 803.02$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 62c | 795$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d484backed Yes | 38c | 795$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Yes | 12c | 783.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 63c | 499.97$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…2246backed No | 63c | 479.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…b991backed Yes | 36c | 479.33$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…6fdfbacked Yes | 12c | 391.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 37c | 319.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 61c | 272.82$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 7c | 221$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 63c | 167.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1777…e72cbacked Yes | 38c | 143.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…89e5backed Yes | 37c | 138.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…8a3fbacked Yes | 37c | 131.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 62c | 117.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 36c | 117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 39c | 108.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Yes | 36c | 101.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 62c | 92.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…95a9backed Yes | 37c | 87.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…97ccbacked Yes | 37c | 87.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f8…5436backed Yes | 37c | 85.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…f6e9backed Yes | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da2…50d2backed No | 64c | 82.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…1ce4backed No | 64c | 82.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…94a6backed No | 64c | 81.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…6503backed No | 64c | 80.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…9556backed No | 64c | 80.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…296dbacked No | 64c | 79.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…eadabacked No | 64c | 78.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb7…ae2abacked Yes | 38c | 77.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…d9b0backed No | 64c | 76.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…c40ebacked No | 64c | 75.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…8e7cbacked Yes | 37c | 74.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…8c83backed Yes | 37c | 73.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…c783backed No | 63c | 73.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…702abacked Yes | 37c | 72.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 62c | 72.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83cd…3918backed Yes | 37c | 72.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…bc97backed No | 64c | 72.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…f346backed No | 63c | 69.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…3d59backed Yes | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…1b91backed No | 64c | 59.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5716…d9ebbacked No | 64c | 56.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…1617backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 37c | 51.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 38c | 46.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 61c | 38.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…8cbbbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…e1e2backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…3ac6backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c1…9d81backed No | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e06…a499backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-19?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-19?No won
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.