TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cardinalsof Cardinals, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$324,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5912…89aebacked Rockies39c102,469$39,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,962.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cardinals61c91,901$56,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,841.5460451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies10c44,883$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,488.931,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies23c33,550$7,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,794.9397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals51c11,868$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.9529240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Cardinals59c7,140$4,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.3913065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rockies40c5,799$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.6653150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies36c5,797$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.019,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Cardinals69c5,493$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.0515745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Cardinals58c5,125$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.5813359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals60c4,788$2,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.261346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rockies41c4,626$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.4726949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6b…47e9backed Cardinals59c4,600$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Rockies7c3,987$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.812231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rockies40c3,922$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.346550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies7c3,814$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.16,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies17c3,808$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.032,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Rockies23c3,689$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.3212939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Cardinals70c3,559$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.856154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies10c3,126$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals75c2,867$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.6726847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals59c2,800$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies11c2,428$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6843946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Cardinals62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3524154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals58c2,038$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.9166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals78c1,954$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.5568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockies1c1,908$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.815852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Rockies42c1,866$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.8317927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rockies12c1,860$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1826650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Rockies41c1,800$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7385042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Rockies41c1,750$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Rockies10c1,537$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6213145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rockies41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9637446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…ede5backed Cardinals57c1,204$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.022556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Cardinals68c1,161$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.843336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies40c1,125$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45043654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies43c1,036$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Cardinals60c1,006$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.534751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Cardinals60c740$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2967238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc824…f574backed Rockies41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Cardinals62c672.08$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.391770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies40c667.5$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies38c654.32$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.641,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies2c650$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Rockies28c625$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0914328.7%41 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Cardinals62c616.13$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1314649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies39c569$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9144443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies40c535$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Rockies41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Rockies41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20514148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…d078backed Rockies41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e37…160fbacked Rockies41c450$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd131…ba36backed Rockies41c449.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc043…8121backed Rockies10c444.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9add…d13fbacked Rockies2c430.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies47c422.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies41c414$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.742,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.982,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked Cardinals75c325.71$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.832045%9 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5839160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ae…41a4backed Cardinals63c319.38$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.172839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals61c297.65$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.364,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Cardinals52c293.14$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1410544.8%47 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5445…4e0bbacked Cardinals63c275.7$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.012536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies40c255.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Rockies40c251.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4231347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1004…e818backed Rockies41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals59c236$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.761,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Cardinals59c212$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9291749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Cardinals62c207.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8116157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Rockies8c205$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1912924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xae90…c05fbacked Rockies10c200.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.064654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cardinals59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8216934.9%59 W · 110 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals57c195.07$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.881,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Cardinals53c189.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.056357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rockies36c186.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1542955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Cardinals59c180$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.21,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Cardinals59c170.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.211748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Cardinals59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockies20c162.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.798,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Rockies41c160.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0113843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Rockies40c159.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6415949.1%78 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88e2…7489backed Rockies41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Cardinals42c143.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3735652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Cardinals62c141.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9417149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies28c139.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d1…7c31backed Cardinals59c135$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+81%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc47…aae1backed Rockies42c135$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73dd…134bbacked Rockies41c125.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rockies41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87eb…8f8ebacked Rockies41c121.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x542d…706abacked Rockies41c121.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Rockies41c113.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.691428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf852…38a8backed Rockies42c110.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Rockies67c102.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.621872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.