TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof White Sox, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$398,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Pirates60c306,352$182,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,578.4410844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed White Sox41c103,015$42,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,778.9760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox40c85,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00086751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox40c39,881$15,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,928.541,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked White Sox40c22,005$8,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,20314048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox41c16,481$6,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,723.621,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked White Sox40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00049650.2%249 W · 247 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox52c4,155$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.339,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked White Sox40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox41c3,913$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.172,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked White Sox40c3,002$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.9911555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pirates59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates60c2,424$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.431346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates41c2,081$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.433845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates22c1,589$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.622,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88537446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed White Sox79c1,352$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.022864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox40c1,050$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63073352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc712…450ebacked White Sox71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Pirates59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked White Sox41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5905648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Pirates60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates16c824$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates27c758.6$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd78…230fbacked White Sox72c693.86$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.481968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pirates59c651.97$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pirates2c605.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.655862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed White Sox41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3541,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c8…2223backed White Sox78c522$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.842343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pirates59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29595950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Pirates36c500$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17834051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Pirates60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pirates4c480.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.226,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates25c462.74$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.84,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed White Sox40c458.83$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates9c455.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.91,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Pirates21c412.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5538444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f0…0ff9backed Pirates60c303$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed White Sox42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5be…7286backed Pirates60c299$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked White Sox78c282.75$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7517558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed White Sox70c280$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8416157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked White Sox72c278.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.066154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates4c254$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.038762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed White Sox41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Pirates15c213.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates53c207.58$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.511,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb004…2bf1backed Pirates60c201$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed White Sox40c200.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.351,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Pirates60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked White Sox41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11815644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12080955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Pirates60c197.38$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.435945.8%27 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates59c189$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.511,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fa…d36abacked White Sox41c177$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Pirates60c175$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10518748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox47c173$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5265549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Pirates60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Pirates60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d6c…b2fbbacked White Sox41c158$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox39c154.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.451,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Pirates39c151.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed White Sox41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3415949.1%78 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00f…83f3backed White Sox42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed White Sox71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.858366.3%55 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5f8…5f2cbacked White Sox41c139$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d3…8d79backed White Sox41c133$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…f180backed Pirates60c132$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1f…2f42backed Pirates60c131$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7815…e5d1backed White Sox41c127$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3d…7744backed White Sox41c126$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8322…3290backed Pirates60c124$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox40c116.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7531244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08d0…751dbacked White Sox40c115$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked White Sox41c109.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3910041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Pirates19c108.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6613138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Pirates58c108.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9338249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3684…ed01backed Pirates60c101$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed White Sox40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked White Sox41c98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8216552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox57c91.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x6d68…c379backed Pirates60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed White Sox40c86.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6224051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Pirates60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed White Sox41c83.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1525952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Pirates60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Pirates29c70.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.345642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245e…5888backed Pirates61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d0…085bbacked White Sox41c65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed White Sox52c64.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9242955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked White Sox41c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0969547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97b…a5c4backed White Sox79c50.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox41c50.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked White Sox40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3050447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.