WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0865250d41480be39c138414f91022c6c4926eaf09a58ed06803fb5910485386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Dream, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mystics | 24c | 10,733$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.16 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dream | 63c | 6,475$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.11 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mystics | 35c | 1,703$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.19 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dream | 64c | 1,279$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mystics | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dream | 67c | 738.28$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.32 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Dream | 51c | 727.28$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Mystics | 35c | 700$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Mystics | 24c | 605.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mystics | 31c | 548$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dream | 61c | 547.28$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dream | 65c | 319.15$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mystics | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 36c | 275.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dream | 71c | 272$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Dream | 65c | 231.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mystics | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mystics | 33c | 188.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 68c | 134.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Mystics | 38c | 131.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dream | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Mystics | 30c | 99.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Mystics | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Dream | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Mystics | 43c | 82.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Dream | 69c | 80.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Dream | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Dream | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mystics | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Dream | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Dream | 63c | 64.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 61c | 55.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 858 | 58.3%500 W · 358 L | +69.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mystics | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Dream | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mystics | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mystics | 33c | 42.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mystics | 35c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Dream | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.