NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1486c42827cca86c95769c3812bf3fc7d4e67edbec21d8043cf516c81952e721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Flames, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 33c | 9,820$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.6 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Stars | 67c | 3,899$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flames | 32c | 3,584$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.99 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 68c | 3,423$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.24 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Flames | 32c | 3,011$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.55 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Stars | 50c | 2,002$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.52 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 68c | 1,514$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.69 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Stars | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Flames | 33c | 1,499$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Stars | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 58c | 1,221$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.54 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Flames | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.08 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 44cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 65c | 1,000$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars | 38c | 945.56$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.25 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Stars | 68c | 780.88$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.88 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Stars | 42c | 602.43$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.43 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 41c | 535.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 69c | 534$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Stars | 66c | 499.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 67c | 499.93$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Flames | 30c | 499.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Flames | 32c | 498.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flames | 63c | 493.73$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.04 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff22…500ebacked Flames | 32c | 415$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2306…d8ccbacked Stars | 68c | 415$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc310…4d92backed Stars | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…0327backed Flames | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…4c58backed Flames | 32c | 399$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…8ad7backed Stars | 68c | 399$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…1b50backed Flames | 33c | 396.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Stars | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Flames | 56c | 357.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 32c | 351.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars | 37c | 330$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Flames | 31c | 322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Stars | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…ab3cbacked Stars | 68c | 297.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Stars | 62c | 273.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Flames | 32c | 250.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Stars | 69c | 250.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Flames | 5c | 245.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Stars | 51c | 235.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 37c | 233.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…c404backed Stars | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Stars | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flames | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…650dbacked Flames | 33c | 196.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Flames | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d63dbacked Stars | 70c | 182.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Flames | 72c | 180$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Stars | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Stars | 39c | 156.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…5adebacked Stars | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…92ecbacked Flames | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…ea96backed Stars | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Stars | 71c | 138.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Flames | 71c | 133.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a8…019ebacked Flames | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…29ccbacked Stars | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…d8fdbacked Flames | 34c | 119.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 64c | 117.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e36…7c49backed Stars | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…ec4cbacked Flames | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Stars | 39c | 104.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…8eb5backed Stars | 70c | 104.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…8fd0backed Flames | 53c | 100.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stars | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Stars | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b04…7829backed Stars | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Stars | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…4fbdbacked Stars | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…2c4bbacked Stars | 70c | 90.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…a785backed Stars | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…09bdbacked Stars | 70c | 81.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…1833backed Stars | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Stars | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…9841backed Flames | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…f0efbacked Stars | 68c | 61.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Stars | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…980abacked Stars | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flames | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Flames | 32c | 57.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921e…5acbbacked Flames | 33c | 54.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…cda4backed Stars | 70c | 54.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…86c9backed Flames | 64c | 52.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…c16fbacked Flames | 31c | 51.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Stars | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…cca3backed Stars | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Flames | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Flames | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Stars | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5330backed Flames | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…1362backed Flames | 33c | 45.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.