NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5daa03b5bd11b7a991da2b7c2abc315b1df09bbfa30806ee3b6e2dba0d3f8784
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dfb…02f0backed Golden Knights | 59c | 53,460$31,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,918.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…31f1backed Flames | 41c | 51,574$21,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,145.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 49,445$28,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,766.9 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…f339backed Flames | 41c | 33,850$13,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,878.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…8921backed Golden Knights | 59c | 30,650$18,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,566.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Flames | 40c | 18,389$7,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,425.25 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Flames | 42c | 16,006$6,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,722.52 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 33c | 15,739$5,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.91 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 34c | 10,051$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.02 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flames | 42c | 9,380$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.89 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Flames | 41c | 7,367$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.85 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 5,333$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Golden Knights | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 60c | 5,000$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Golden Knights | 58c | 4,378$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.95 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Golden Knights | 58c | 4,087$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.72 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Flames | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Flames | 42c | 3,544$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Flames | 40c | 3,377$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.69 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights | 74c | 2,959$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.72 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights | 59c | 2,783$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.83 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Golden Knights | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,306$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.64 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Flames | 46c | 1,262$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.71 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Flames | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Flames | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flames | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…cca0backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Golden Knights | 54c | 918.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.18 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 851.67$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.67 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames | 42c | 714$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flames | 41c | 596.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 555$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.22 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Flames | 30c | 529.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 41c | 522.3$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.81 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Flames | 32c | 506.91$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Golden Knights | 59c | 500$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 444$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b21…6199backed Flames | 20c | 393.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights | 59c | 366.08$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Golden Knights | 78c | 340.27$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Flames | 21c | 334.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Flames | 52c | 322.37$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flames | 42c | 291.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Flames | 41c | 281.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights | 59c | 280.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Flames | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Golden Knights | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Flames | 28c | 214.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 39c | 205.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Flames | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…48d1backed Golden Knights | 57c | 176.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Golden Knights | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Golden Knights | 57c | 157.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Golden Knights | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 43c | 146.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 127.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259d…94ebbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…f3b0backed Golden Knights | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 24c | 100.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Golden Knights | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Flames | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Golden Knights | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Flames | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…af0ebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…2b88backed Golden Knights | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Flames | 29c | 94.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Golden Knights | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc571…c586backed Flames | 41c | 88.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7262…6c5cbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 88.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…f556backed Flames | 41c | 87.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…aeb6backed Golden Knights | 60c | 86.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…24e8backed Golden Knights | 60c | 85.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…987ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 84.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…0828backed Flames | 42c | 84.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Golden Knights | 60c | 83.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Golden Knights | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…18b7backed Flames | 41c | 82.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Golden Knights | 75c | 82.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…5aa5backed Golden Knights | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0da8backed Flames | 42c | 79.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d48…fb21backed Flames | 41c | 78.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…4304backed Flames | 42c | 76.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabf…e286backed Flames | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…96e4backed Golden Knights | 60c | 74.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Golden Knights | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Golden Knights | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Golden Knights | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…15e6backed Golden Knights | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…184cbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Golden Knights | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…4e10backed Golden Knights | 60c | 45.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.