TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Canadiens, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens44c7,813$3,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.881,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames56c7,014$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flames54c3,487$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.8792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Flames74c2,850$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens45c2,499$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.774847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Canadiens22c2,354$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52121620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Flames56c2,009$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.1231546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Canadiens38c1,643$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.7511051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Flames75c1,195$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Flames55c1,184$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.957256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Flames55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.991181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+35%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Canadiens45c997$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.652240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flames54c835.56$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.193,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Canadiens49c509.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens25c508.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.51,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Canadiens46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Flames57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens43c454.37$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.381,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Canadiens46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flames53c409.08$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Canadiens49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flames55c377$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e75…e196backed Canadiens45c337$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Canadiens49c332.86$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16319438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames54c332.61$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Flames54c324.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.515663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens44c301.85$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Flames55c237.91$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.064042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06d…64d3backed Canadiens31c222$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canadiens46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Canadiens48c207.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4d…52e9backed Canadiens44c193.18$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3b…0ee3backed Canadiens46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe38…128bbacked Flames54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a2…2e5fbacked Canadiens46c184.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Canadiens46c183.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.724235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c41…1c9abacked Flames54c183$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x159a…e9c2backed Canadiens46c183$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.181450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5795…fb01backed Canadiens46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f9…99dbbacked Flames54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…4192backed Flames56c179$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe549…6045backed Canadiens44c179$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6498…90efbacked Flames54c177$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x959e…11a6backed Canadiens44c173$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd103…69f6backed Flames56c173$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6800…5cf5backed Flames56c165$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce86…cbcbbacked Flames56c165$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08a…3358backed Canadiens44c165$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e1…3348backed Canadiens44c165$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d0…2498backed Flames56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Canadiens46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6928542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens15c149.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Flames55c135.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.952055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885a…0b49backed Canadiens46c127.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.661070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c7a…34ebbacked Canadiens46c124.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.372356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d5…0d20backed Flames57c112.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f5…216bbacked Canadiens13c111$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Canadiens46c109.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700c…9bd9backed Flames56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2453…a614backed Canadiens46c102.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.151947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Canadiens44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4435154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Flames56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4450857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4022…46b6backed Flames55c95.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Canadiens38c92.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked Flames55c92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3d7…def8backed Canadiens44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ae…df84backed Flames57c82.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.312744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fba…22f2backed Canadiens44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Flames55c71.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.281968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa44a…5d2dbacked Flames57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ea…c5babacked Canadiens45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Canadiens46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307749.4%38 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf19…4af4backed Flames56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f34…fa37backed Flames55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b9…bb0ebacked Canadiens46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens43c50.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Canadiens42c50.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3610127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf13…0a9abacked Canadiens46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Flames54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Canadiens49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Flames57c49.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.479554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Canadiens46c48.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.456050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fe…3800backed Canadiens46c45.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+59.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flames54c45.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Flames55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…515cbacked Flames55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…4617backed Canadiens44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043456%243 W · 191 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb25f…245cbacked Canadiens46c43.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d9…f950backed Canadiens46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Canadiens46c38.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Flames55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3645954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…ed97backed Flames56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a5…ebbfbacked Flames56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Flames56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711580%12 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Flames58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd380…62d6backed Canadiens44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.