Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wofford vs. Tennessee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ffc5ac45a25f40557bb29cf2d929f8b39b56302c4798e342b75b2f9a7cce68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Wofford, Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77dc…7897backed Wofford | 7c | 15,171$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Wofford | 6c | 5,549$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Wofford | 7c | 5,496$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.36 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Wofford | 6c | 3,054$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wofford | 6c | 2,542$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Wofford | 2c | 2,204$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wofford | 3c | 1,550$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Wofford | 1c | 1,264$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Wofford | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Wofford | 5c | 931.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Wofford | 6c | 857.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wofford | 3c | 710$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Wofford | 3c | 700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Wofford | 5c | 677.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Wofford | 6c | 511.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Wofford | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Wofford | 6c | 441.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Wofford | 4c | 401$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Wofford | 5c | 327$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wofford | 6c | 324.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6993backed Wofford | 6c | 256$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…1140backed Wofford | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…7660backed Wofford | 6c | 194$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5e7cbacked Wofford | 6c | 175$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…a4a0backed Wofford | 6c | 171$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Wofford | 8c | 131.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.