Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron vs. Arizona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb182931507df50b0c981579a978d1f28eaadc133d433122d8158396ed4dcbd6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizonaof Akron, Arizona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Akron | 11c | 3,718$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.94 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Akron | 11c | 2,043$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…1511backed Akron | 10c | 1,750$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Akron | 9c | 1,521$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Akron | 12c | 1,321$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Akron | 9c | 1,260$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Akron | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Akron | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Akron | 10c | 958.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Akron | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Akron | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Akron | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Akron | 11c | 324$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Akron | 9c | 184.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Akron | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…f894backed Akron | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7d0dbacked Akron | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Akron | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Akron | 9c | 148$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Akron | 11c | 105.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Akron | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…fed3backed Akron | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.