WNBA · resolved market
Sky vs Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02378e88a75803fb1438a567ee8d051cf22ee276b4ec71df23b4ace52cd4857d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Sky, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 60c | 7,304$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.35 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Sun | 39c | 4,240$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sun | 53c | 1,036$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.99 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sky | 47c | 804.17$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.21 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sun | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sun | 20c | 570$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sun | 53c | 562.74$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.13 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sun | 51c | 377$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sky | 40c | 328$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sun | 45c | 298.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sky | 47c | 267.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sun | 47c | 260.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Sky | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Sun | 27c | 165.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Sun | 57c | 161.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Sun | 40c | 158.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Sun | 53c | 152.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Sun | 25c | 129$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Sun | 17c | 114.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sky | 49c | 102.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Sun | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sun | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sun | 51c | 60.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Sky | 47c | 54.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Sun | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Sky | 45c | 30.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Sky | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Sky | 47c | 25.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Sky | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.