TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Islanders, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders62c1,874$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.6886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blackhawks36c1,634$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.631,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blackhawks38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9231849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Islanders45c1,156$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.6413655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Islanders35c1,003$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Blackhawks38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6204645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Blackhawks55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Blackhawks36c999.9$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9425340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Blackhawks65c945.71$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3312638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc748…4a47backed Islanders64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Islanders2c777$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.657450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Islanders64c697.23$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.231533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Blackhawks46c690$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.65149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Islanders64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201580%12 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45cf…d389backed Islanders44c329.17$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Islanders38c263.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-60.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Blackhawks54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders62c175.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Islanders62c167.74$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Islanders63c157.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Islanders64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Islanders62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.52661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Islanders35c143.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Blackhawks39c141.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.032147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Blackhawks38c132.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8838040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Islanders62c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x296a…125fbacked Islanders65c117.86$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Islanders44c113.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders62c112.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Islanders44c105$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Blackhawks35c100.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7413953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Islanders63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Blackhawks37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Islanders64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Islanders31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a32…ae7bbacked Blackhawks69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Islanders62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.91060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Islanders62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.74146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks36c99.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9229847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…532abacked Blackhawks56c92.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Blackhawks40c84.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.244526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Islanders64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blackhawks36c76.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Islanders62c71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7724457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a1…dfc9backed Blackhawks48c68.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x756e…9fd0backed Islanders63c60.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Blackhawks47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Islanders64c55.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352958.6%17 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ff…3fbebacked Blackhawks37c53.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks38c52.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Blackhawks38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Blackhawks53c51.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…2ce1backed Islanders63c51.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Islanders66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b8…79eabacked Blackhawks39c47.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.01683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+70.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x931f…803abacked Islanders61c47.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Blackhawks45c47.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.884742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed0…050dbacked Islanders63c46.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7fb…31cdbacked Blackhawks37c46.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c8…23aabacked Blackhawks39c44.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Islanders48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.167540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…e965backed Islanders62c41.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb6…c119backed Blackhawks39c41.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.225100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Islanders73c41.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc9…19a1backed Blackhawks39c40.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f8…4603backed Islanders61c40.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Blackhawks62c40.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Islanders64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.64452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Blackhawks36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdad0…5cb3backed Blackhawks37c38.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a3…095abacked Blackhawks37c37.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b45…54eabacked Blackhawks39c37.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ba…e0a5backed Islanders61c36.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x724d…f936backed Blackhawks37c36.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+111.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bdd…3c05backed Islanders63c36.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Islanders43c35.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…91b2backed Islanders66c34.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x650a…3c08backed Islanders61c34.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f55…0194backed Islanders63c34.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf98…37bcbacked Blackhawks37c34.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a14…eb15backed Islanders61c33.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…6d92backed Blackhawks39c33.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9593…a3bbbacked Blackhawks37c33.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x343c…d9e9backed Blackhawks37c33.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…5e8cbacked Blackhawks39c32.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051090%9 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick48cpaid+85.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Islanders61c32.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Islanders62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a26…efe0backed Islanders62c31.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5781…95a2backed Islanders64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Islanders64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010255.9%57 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ce…ab6bbacked Islanders61c31.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x359d…7f8dbacked Islanders65c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4e…21b0backed Blackhawks39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5724…6371backed Islanders63c28.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x487a…f25bbacked Blackhawks38c28.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…7266backed Islanders64c28.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x910b…fc91backed Islanders61c26.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a0…875bbacked Blackhawks39c26.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.