TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Flames, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c2,100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Sharks20c1,264$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0931334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flames64c500$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.651,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Sharks38c458.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.429153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks37c383.26$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.961,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks12c286$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Flames79c251.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.885660.7%34 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks12c221.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flames61c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.021,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Flames62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Flames62c180.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0519150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Flames62c121.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.089547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Sharks37c111.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3725340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Sharks38c110.1$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3313846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames60c107.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Flames63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3713953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Sharks38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Flames59c91.25$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4131849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flames61c84.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Flames62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd445…abf3backed Sharks40c70.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.012040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Sharks18c65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flames64c64.89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Flames63c63.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…cf42backed Flames61c60.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks39c59.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb09c…fb93backed Sharks33c54.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Flames72c54.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3413655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x150f…4958backed Sharks40c53.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d3…cc09backed Flames64c52.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82db…6af7backed Sharks39c51.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…e006backed Sharks39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3742…b8a3backed Sharks39c50.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Sharks40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd976…b434backed Sharks26c48.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a3…21c3backed Flames61c47.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…f29ebacked Sharks42c47.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c0c…3c23backed Flames61c47.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf196…00fbbacked Flames57c47.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.362236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27c4…7648backed Flames57c41.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d6…9317backed Flames57c41.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Flames60c40.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4462944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4d…d9b0backed Flames59c40.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6473…950fbacked Sharks41c40.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Flames61c39.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.596357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed4b…d5cebacked Sharks39c39.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ae…2ccabacked Flames60c39.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…22c2backed Flames60c39.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc961…cb3bbacked Sharks40c39.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…1ee0backed Sharks43c39.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…d031backed Sharks43c39.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32dc…828dbacked Sharks39c39.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9037…34afbacked Flames61c39.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd450…e378backed Flames60c38.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…513fbacked Sharks40c38.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe2…c486backed Flames62c38.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7050…3b18backed Flames59c38.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6221…73e4backed Sharks41c38.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c90…2d86backed Flames59c38.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6703…4c85backed Flames62c37.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0473…8da6backed Sharks34c37.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf596…6eacbacked Flames59c37.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Sharks40c37.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.023040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedb…2496backed Sharks39c37.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c4…9916backed Flames60c37.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd6…7ce4backed Sharks38c37.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec36…0d32backed Sharks39c37.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…9984backed Flames62c37.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124d…e18abacked Flames60c37.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf217…26f2backed Sharks40c37.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e50…7994backed Sharks39c37.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7d3…7557backed Flames61c37.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6387…bbd2backed Flames62c36.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec28…c21fbacked Sharks40c36.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb08e…8cc9backed Flames60c36.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a24dbacked Flames61c36.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e1a…b0f6backed Flames61c36.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d7…6d01backed Sharks39c36.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae03…58b8backed Flames63c36.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1652…933cbacked Sharks37c36.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…c477backed Sharks40c36.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…07dbbacked Flames60c36.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…92d2backed Flames58c35.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f7…bce5backed Sharks39c35.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x472f…edabbacked Flames61c35.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb656…6da6backed Flames61c35.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1886…4795backed Sharks39c35.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Flames66c35.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1128542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb14…a4f5backed Sharks40c35.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb83…417fbacked Flames60c35.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f57…4c77backed Flames61c35.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.87580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c8…9126backed Sharks39c35.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2551…e61abacked Sharks40c35.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x754c…2435backed Flames61c35.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98fe…dc3abacked Sharks38c35.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fde…3fe6backed Flames62c35.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ec…4741backed Flames61c35.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f1d…a9d5backed Flames59c35.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb71e…5ae3backed Flames61c35.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641b…29f5backed Sharks38c35.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.