MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x342b5fd690edc8db09c390cf4000c12fccf9bdffbfc9303510e65adb89b45a46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 2,075$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.96 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 1,218$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.73 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 1,183$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.98 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 580.93$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 535.08$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.76 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 503.51$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.26 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 495.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.17 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 482.12$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.88 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 301.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Doosan Bears | 29c | 207.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 181.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 39c | 178.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 174.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 174.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Lotte Giants | 58c | 158.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 157.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 150.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lotte Giants | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 139.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 134.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 98.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Doosan Bears | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 68c | 82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 81.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lotte Giants | 65c | 70.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 60.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 55.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 54.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 53.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 362 | 68%246 W · 116 L | +34.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 52.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 51.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 50.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 49.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 49.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 49.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 66c | 46.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Lotte Giants | 72c | 39.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…a0c2backed Lotte Giants | 57c | 35.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…8255backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 33.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 33.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 27.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 24.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lotte Giants | 55c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.