MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22694cd4b8dbb220eec1bcfde3e374a0ccf2e213bca6c57bc0ef2353ebb05436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof LG Twins, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed KT Wiz | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.92 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed LG Twins | 58c | 809.8$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.68 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 72c | 728.36$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed KT Wiz | 42c | 688.6$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.39 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked KT Wiz | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 58c | 525.21$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.62 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed LG Twins | 59c | 495.08$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LG Twins | 57c | 485.12$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.52 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 58c | 376.72$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed KT Wiz | 33c | 355$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.55 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LG Twins | 68c | 294.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked KT Wiz | 33c | 263.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…ba2cbacked KT Wiz | 41c | 236.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed KT Wiz | 40c | 211.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 22c | 203.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed LG Twins | 58c | 192.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed LG Twins | 58c | 126.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed LG Twins | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 76c | 120.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked LG Twins | 63c | 107.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked LG Twins | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked LG Twins | 76c | 90.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 58c | 77.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 35c | 74.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked LG Twins | 58c | 73.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed KT Wiz | 43c | 69.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LG Twins | 59c | 64.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 58c | 63.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed KT Wiz | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed KT Wiz | 26c | 54.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 61c | 53.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed KT Wiz | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed KT Wiz | 34c | 48.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LG Twins | 59c | 41.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 58c | 41.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked KT Wiz | 41c | 39.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed LG Twins | 58c | 39.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed LG Twins | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed LG Twins | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed LG Twins | 73c | 27.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked LG Twins | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.