Fifa International · resolved market
Will Haiti vs. Peru end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3c7c75d9e8b57069be57ff043c2a38eeca84852c2c826670f09eca9cfccd8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 7,480$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.88 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 6,871$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.93 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 3,913$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.84 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 8c | 1,379$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 24c | 1,129$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.02 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 718.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 653.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed No | 67c | 551.24$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 257 | 19.1%49 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 24c | 396.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 27c | 256.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 241.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 73c | 233.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 220 | 26.4%58 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe03f…6ce8backed Yes | 23c | 204.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 18c | 193.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 55c | 182.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 14c | 178.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 26c | 170.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…e70bbacked Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 169.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 70c | 154$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b5a2backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 143.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 137.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x493f…a9b7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 50c | 98.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 89.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 32.3%42 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 84.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 84.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 24c | 71.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…e5cebacked Yes | 22c | 67.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 29c | 61.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 58.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 34c | 53.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 79c | 46.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 45.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked No | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 42.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 37.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 70c | 36.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 73c | 17.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -19.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 70c | 16.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…91eebacked Yes | 72c | 16.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 71c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 70c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 76c | 13.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Haiti vs. Peru end in a draw?this page
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05?No won
- Will Peru win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.