Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f6097bc5e8ec910604ab8f01ae7e51ff58327ab80a317ce9c52050f97a18628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 5,646$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.49 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 3,769$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 3,332$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 3,001$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 64c | 2,722$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.96 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 52c | 1,386$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.26 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 42c | 1,330$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.75 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,178$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.91 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 1,126$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 63c | 790$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.78 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…e90dbacked Yes | 52c | 757.69$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 593.6$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.64 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 36c | 570.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 51c | 541.92$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.97 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 342.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 58c | 329.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…d1efbacked Yes | 40c | 300.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…2dc4backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…f0dabacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 48c | 208.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 208$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…8f8fbacked Yes | 59c | 203.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…896abacked Yes | 11c | 183.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 37c | 178.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 164.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d0e1backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 64c | 145.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 46c | 137.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b5a2backed Yes | 49c | 126.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…1726backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 41c | 113.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 51c | 110.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 109.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 48c | 104.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a00bbacked Yes | 38c | 102.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…8961backed Yes | 40c | 100.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…7319backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed No | 63c | 95.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 81.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 45c | 75.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 60c | 72.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d63…d502backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 52.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked Yes | 57c | 47.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…b8d8backed Yes | 37c | 47.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…97a1backed Yes | 37c | 45.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 52c | 41.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 48c | 41.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 64c | 39.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 56c | 38.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 75c | 31.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5e80backed Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…a9f6backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…88c5backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa093…9041backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime?this page
- Haiti leading at halftime?No won
- Scotland leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.