Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a54472dad1050fca268a9d9dbc3dde9eae308a7f0f69f69eec51592e982f96b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 49c | 24,782$12,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,634.18 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 48c | 21,109$10,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,887.73 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 54c | 18,843$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,149.64 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 52c | 16,216$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,476.75 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 49c | 13,853$6,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,065.2 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked No | 51c | 9,678$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.63 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 9,623$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 53c | 8,935$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.59 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 7,628$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.23 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 44c | 6,780$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.76 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 6,345$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Yes | 45c | 6,340$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed No | 55c | 5,438$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.93 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 48c | 4,660$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.96 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 4,496$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 4,019$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.88 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 51c | 3,858$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.72 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 49c | 2,887$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.37 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 48c | 2,780$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.21 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…11fbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 51c | 1,641$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.84 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Yes | 49c | 1,626$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.61 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 49c | 1,569$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.29 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 36c | 1,495$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.82 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 1,456$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.56 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 50c | 1,397$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.94 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Yes | 74c | 1,246$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.59 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.39 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 3c | 990.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 51c | 990.5$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.15 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 51c | 959.95$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.58 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 13c | 954.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 51c | 916.52$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.42 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…53ffbacked Yes | 50c | 912$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes | 49c | 818.05$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.96 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 50c | 806.09$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 49c | 717.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.73 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 33c | 666.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.67 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 37c | 616.49$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.39 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 78c | 570.86$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 54c | 536.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 38c | 526.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.68 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 45c | 520.67$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.96 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes | 50c | 520$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed No | 54c | 499.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.97 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 479.73$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 51c | 465.39$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 448$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.22 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 48c | 394.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 52c | 388$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked No | 50c | 375.21$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.61 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 47c | 338.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 40c | 290.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 48c | 283.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 273.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 30c | 244.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Yes | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…896abacked Yes | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 44c | 203.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 50c | 201.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 181.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 42c | 173.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 53c | 150.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…0015backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd838…96ccbacked Yes | 49c | 134.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 76c | 130.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 46c | 129.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 119.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…0dedbacked Yes | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…7538backed Yes | 34c | 113.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 24c | 109.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e9…c135backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland leading at halftime?this page
- Haiti leading at halftime?No won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.