Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3281844f89969e1065221184347a751d3baf3059b8f97101fdd57fb16d362e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 2c | 5,320$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 5,173$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 1,557$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 947$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 16c | 728$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 608.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…da81backed Yes | 2c | 580$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 546.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 16c | 450.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…ca25backed Yes | 15c | 221.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 16c | 124.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed Yes | 16c | 113.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 16c | 102.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…18b5backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…393abacked Yes | 17c | 90.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f25…57a4backed Yes | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…6fdfbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti leading at halftime?this page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime?No won
- Scotland leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.