Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8768f22f53e11d663896ffa941dec2df6711c908c08526141b7e0ff91359426a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,710 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0072…db61backed Yes	0c	67,077$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	4c	6,371$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.84	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	65c	4,260$2,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,475.28	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	32c	1,927$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.42	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	20c	1,380$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.78	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	32c	1,158$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.42	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes	32c	999.98$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes	4c	588.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes	37c	540.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes	31c	540.48$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.45	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…b82dbacked Yes	5c	522$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	68c	518.39$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.88	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc701…33c1backed Yes	3c	349.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	13c	331.46$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.54	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb124…9d42backed Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No	64c	277.78$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	29%36 W · 88 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes	5c	230$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	106	34%36 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac5…4f92backed No	69c	202$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.62	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.15per pick	37cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Yes	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x378c…0f2dbacked Yes	26c	193.3$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.89	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	44cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb221…a639backed Yes	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	20%25 W · 100 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bcd…a2b5backed Yes	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed No	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b5a2backed Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes	31c	129.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.61	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed No	63c	125.08$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.28	190	27.9%53 W · 137 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	11c	123$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x42d9…00c4backed Yes	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	69c	106$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.07	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Yes	27c	105$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.35	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes	31c	103$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x623b…b1f8backed No	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	107	57%61 W · 46 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3409…6839backed Yes	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+21%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed No	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5605…77a9backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-31%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc037…c387backed Yes	32c	93.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes	28c	89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.74	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	32c	87.03$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.85	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ab…5668backed Yes	32c	78.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No	63c	77.75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.77	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes	32c	75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d8…c245backed Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	116	31.9%37 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4a…99c5backed Yes	32c	59.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.24per pick	43cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes	30c	50.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	32c	44$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	76c	44$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	484	38.2%185 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No	68c	43.21$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.83	222	47.7%106 W · 116 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e9…79ddbacked Yes	34c	41.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	75c	37$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Yes	36c	36.11$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e7…9a37backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	+21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6780…4d12backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	68c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…d0c8backed No	69c	17.75$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	67cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb3…9794backed No	67c	17.33$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	70cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f81…7ce2backed No	71c	16.5$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.84	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?this page
Qatar leading at halftime?No won
Switzerland leading at halftime?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event