Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce89a89d444e6a3dd7adcb0c135b78532a6a2ea827173ef7bff9b5c15f50bfa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 2,986$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 1c | 2,315$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 1,890$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 1,592$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…95eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,218$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 637.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 403$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 6c | 356$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 6c | 241.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 8c | 238.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fa…c771backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe93a…7535backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…0198backed Yes | 8c | 195$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed Yes | 8c | 129.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 15c | 107$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar leading at halftime?this page
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?No won
- Switzerland leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.