Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida State Seminoles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07ef75cb248134e2b4fb4f637cf6afd73c1812c41370650d590fe84180dd8802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Bulldogsof Georgia Bulldogs, Florida State Seminoles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 14,241$6,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,328.72 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Georgia Bulldogs | 54c | 7,505$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.35 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 5,303$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 4,400$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Georgia Bulldogs | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgia Bulldogs | 70c | 1,856$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 1,293$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 20c | 1,242$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 1,223$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.67 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…5ab1backed Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 1,097$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Georgia Bulldogs | 48c | 1,039$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.01 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Florida State Seminoles | 25c | 760$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Florida State Seminoles | 45c | 708.88$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Florida State Seminoles | 14c | 613.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 607$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida State Seminoles | 24c | 565.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Georgia Bulldogs | 48c | 555.41$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.81 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 400$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 389.24$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Florida State Seminoles | 28c | 379$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 351.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida State Seminoles | 30c | 327$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 302$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 39c | 273$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 22c | 267.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Florida State Seminoles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 45c | 216.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 199.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 199$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 43c | 151$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 131.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Georgia Bulldogs | 64c | 106.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…1bc9backed Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Florida State Seminoles | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Florida State Seminoles | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgia Bulldogs | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Georgia Bulldogs | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xda30…dc49backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 54.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…f283backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 51.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33d…a9edbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…e670backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 50.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…93adbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 50.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Georgia Bulldogs | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8291…bf51backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 48.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida State Seminoles | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c09…f8acbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 45.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…f7d6backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 43.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fe…fc72backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 42.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…8fe1backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 41.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…84d8backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 40.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…7df4backed Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Florida State Seminoles | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…7d11backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 37.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…959bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 36.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d48…9bd3backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 34.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…b2a8backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 34.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…30aabacked Georgia Bulldogs | 48c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…fea2backed Georgia Bulldogs | 48c | 33.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…eaf6backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 31.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Georgia Bulldogs | 48c | 30.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…c2edbacked Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 29.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf533…dd04backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 28.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018f…4407backed Georgia Bulldogs | 48c | 28.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…b90ebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 20.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…5fbdbacked Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…e1acbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 20.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.