Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbfb541e328cdb650e32bb8d0bf3fbc0824b00de45785b23d1fe5743daf28b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatan Esportsof Vivo Keyd Stars, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 7c | 12,469$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.61 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Leviatan Esports | 60c | 7,048$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.88 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 3,600$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 3,042$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.74 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 10c | 1,500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 60c | 1,334$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Leviatan Esports | 35c | 1,206$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.26 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Leviatan Esports | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.99 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Leviatan Esports | 47c | 1,067$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.96 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Leviatan Esports | 45c | 999.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.16 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Leviatan Esports | 69c | 923.75$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.32 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Leviatan Esports | 74c | 700$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…1501backed Leviatan Esports | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Leviatan Esports | 41c | 483.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 49c | 387$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 58c | 342.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 324.92$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Leviatan Esports | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Leviatan Esports | 41c | 220.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 64c | 212.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Leviatan Esports | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 64c | 149.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…42abbacked Leviatan Esports | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 108.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Leviatan Esports | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Leviatan Esports | 42c | 95.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4c26backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 90.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 80.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ed…7ab9backed Leviatan Esports | 43c | 69.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Leviatan Esports | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Leviatan Esports | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…fcbbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 30c | 36.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Leviatan Esports | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Leviatan Esports | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 63c | 19.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)Leviatan Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsLeviatan Esports won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerLeviatan Esports won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerLeviatan Esports won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.