CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Time Waves vs BBBMBCBS (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a1cfe3b2ea6f5cce03a1323df9d40e17cf4228e29f7b57ba9412d8c5d0ba94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Time Wavesof Time Waves, BBBMBCBS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BBBMBCBS | 1c | 8,231$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…c71dbacked BBBMBCBS | 0c | 7,769$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed BBBMBCBS | 42c | 1,851$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.41 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Time Waves | 72c | 833.67$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.92 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Time Waves | 44c | 474.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed BBBMBCBS | 8c | 433.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Time Waves | 47c | 412.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked BBBMBCBS | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BBBMBCBS | 21c | 366.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Time Waves | 70c | 235.07$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed BBBMBCBS | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Time Waves | 75c | 199.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed BBBMBCBS | 59c | 195.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed Time Waves | 67c | 193.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…5c3dbacked BBBMBCBS | 21c | 184.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BBBMBCBS | 34c | 150.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…2c5ebacked Time Waves | 66c | 143.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Time Waves | 44c | 135.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Time Waves | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Time Waves | 74c | 77.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Time Waves | 41c | 71.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BBBMBCBS | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked BBBMBCBS | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…f18cbacked Time Waves | 78c | 31.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed BBBMBCBS | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Time Waves vs BBBMBCBS (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Time Waves vs BBBMBCBS - Map 1 WinnerTime Waves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.