NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe010dc269156caf7199d4a9df89b39319a340342f6a489a367aee16bed1ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Bucks, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $708,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Bucks | 0c | 143,500$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Bucks | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bucks | 0c | 43,436$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 8c | 25,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 10c | 21,564$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.78 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Bucks | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…4a56backed Bucks | 6c | 17,210$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Bucks | 0c | 15,230$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Bucks | 8c | 13,750$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bucks | 17c | 11,200$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 8c | 10,120$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.09 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…7e3cbacked Bucks | 20c | 10,054$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…69bbbacked Thunder | 80c | 10,011$8,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Bucks | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Bucks | 21c | 9,183$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.46 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Bucks | 9c | 8,534$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.93 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bucks | 0c | 7,998$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Bucks | 4c | 7,076$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.66 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bucks | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 2c | 5,554$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Bucks | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 11c | 4,628$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.17 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Bucks | 5c | 4,400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 4c | 3,281$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Bucks | 1c | 2,703$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 1c | 2,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Bucks | 15c | 2,429$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.37 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bucks | 7c | 2,303$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bucks | 9c | 2,012$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…1b8abacked Bucks | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bucks | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Thunder | 77c | 1,777$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.64 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Bucks | 13c | 1,592$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Bucks | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Bucks | 19c | 1,478$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.79 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bucks | 16c | 1,265$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 18c | 1,218$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Bucks | 8c | 1,181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…f502backed Bucks | 17c | 1,175$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 18c | 1,167$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…e46ebacked Bucks | 1c | 1,158$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…6c0cbacked Bucks | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bucks | 11c | 1,092$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Bucks | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf409…f3c3backed Bucks | 14c | 986.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…cc9fbacked Bucks | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 76c | 848$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd8…2dd9backed Bucks | 18c | 739.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks | 24c | 712.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Bucks | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Thunder | 76c | 648.68$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Bucks | 11c | 643$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Bucks | 8c | 605.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bucks | 19c | 600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 12c | 595.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Thunder | 79c | 568$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…08adbacked Bucks | 20c | 559.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Bucks | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Bucks | 9c | 555.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bucks | 9c | 523.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f4…acd0backed Bucks | 8c | 514.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Bucks | 21c | 475.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Bucks | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Bucks | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Bucks | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bucks | 6c | 399.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Bucks | 17c | 399.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bucks | 18c | 396.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Bucks | 8c | 334.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Bucks | 8c | 312.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Bucks | 17c | 294.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Bucks | 10c | 290$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Bucks | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Bucks | 25c | 268$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bucks | 9c | 263.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Bucks | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Bucks | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Bucks | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Bucks | 6c | 228.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Bucks | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bucks | 11c | 218.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…d4abbacked Bucks | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Bucks | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Bucks | 19c | 210.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Bucks | 9c | 200.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Bucks | 9c | 200.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Bucks | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…9ce8backed Bucks | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Bucks | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bucks | 10c | 188.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Bucks | 8c | 183.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Bucks | 11c | 181.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Bucks | 9c | 180.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Bucks | 17c | 147.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…4504backed Bucks | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Bucks | 18c | 127$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.