TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Padres, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Padres59c38,967$23,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,849.263167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Dodgers40c27,368$11,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,082.86347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers40c12,729$5,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,136.8673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Dodgers40c6,510$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.273447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Dodgers40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd028…75f5backed Padres60c4,968$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd0…4e6cbacked Dodgers38c4,500$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Padres60c4,211$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed Dodgers26c4,035$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.771060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Padres59c3,838$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Dodgers40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7a…3ef4backed Padres60c2,940$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Dodgers35c2,697$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.723743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5f…9a8bbacked Dodgers29c2,370$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb36b…0ba5backed Dodgers41c2,254$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb626…e748backed Padres54c1,808$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.131464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x021f…17fbbacked Padres61c1,680$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f0…1af3backed Dodgers43c1,629$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf9…00bcbacked Dodgers42c1,460$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed Dodgers41c1,457$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a3…1901backed Padres58c1,456$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7d…4feabacked Dodgers41c1,450$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Dodgers42c1,428$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.863327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Dodgers50c1,427$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.142171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2f…746cbacked Dodgers40c1,338$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Dodgers10c1,258$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Dodgers30c1,135$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7516725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Dodgers40c1,082$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Padres59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Dodgers35c950$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Padres59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.463271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1fa4…cbdfbacked Padres60c818.47$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa660…3ebbbacked Dodgers16c750$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Padres60c725.45$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Dodgers43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013354.9%73 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588c…f9c0backed Padres60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dodgers39c654.09$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.278464.3%54 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfc1…a74cbacked Dodgers37c631.8$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4984…1d51backed Padres61c573.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cde…9956backed Padres60c569.8$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.92580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Padres57c491.42$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0873…807abacked Padres60c465.17$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c52…23cabacked Dodgers43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200a…d498backed Padres60c450$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Dodgers35c430.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd73…386dbacked Dodgers30c407.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438a…62e5backed Dodgers45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Dodgers39c399.78$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.551040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cd…238dbacked Padres61c386.38$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.692334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Padres60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3351334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Dodgers20c264$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa244…97ecbacked Dodgers43c255.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03d4…6149backed Padres60c255.67$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers30c249.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.492,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Padres62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.948349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f8…fa32backed Dodgers43c227.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6162…4c33backed Padres60c227.22$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675b…822abacked Padres62c217.48$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.64944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed7…537abacked Padres60c216.13$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2310…8537backed Dodgers29c207.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed42…7718backed Padres60c201.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Padres60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd44…6565backed Dodgers26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Dodgers42c187$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.542231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Padres60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Dodgers40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Padres59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.72931%9 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…5e3ebacked Padres61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4f…564fbacked Dodgers51c160.41$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Padres74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.13743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Dodgers37c139.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5611449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddcf…d49ebacked Dodgers22c130$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.854955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd13…a813backed Padres60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x614b…797fbacked Padres61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Dodgers40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ad…4c1cbacked Dodgers10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Padres58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.996150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Dodgers31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec61…c534backed Dodgers41c90.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…ebb0backed Padres61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3959…a574backed Padres59c87.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.02875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Padres60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…5be6backed Padres60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Dodgers14c81.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.392025%5 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2087…78a4backed Dodgers40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…60e7backed Padres60c74.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd73…595bbacked Padres60c71.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…eccabacked Padres60c66.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15e6…ec7ebacked Dodgers41c65.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.661533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dodgers27c63.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0863942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked Dodgers42c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Dodgers40c52.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed Dodgers39c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778a…1a6dbacked Dodgers42c42.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dcb…3642backed Padres60c39.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3f…bcd7backed Dodgers42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5c…1f98backed Dodgers42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Padres61c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Padres60c34.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.