Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fde9777a9d36c13a0c8c210fa54415a2bfcba5054be3c496adfd39c1b4d088d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 5,923$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.96 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,049$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 2,514$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.31 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 2,157$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.38 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 1,160$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.44 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 37c | 901.87$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.26 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 64c | 822.78$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 31c | 590$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 39c | 399.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 64c | 343.48$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 54c | 335.75$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 333.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Yes | 63c | 288.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 278.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 247.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 216.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.27 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 38c | 213.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…e552backed No | 38c | 192.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 192$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 44c | 157.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 30c | 144.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…a77dbacked Yes | 64c | 143.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 38c | 130.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 26c | 125.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 38c | 124.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 104.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 63c | 93.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 38c | 92.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 60c | 84.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 62c | 67.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 63c | 59.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Yes | 22c | 59.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff4…c45cbacked Yes | 34c | 50.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…e07fbacked No | 42c | 45.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +199%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Yes | 63c | 36.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed No | 42c | 35.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…a65bbacked Yes | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.