South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c99a3953af69024da65bf9065a073f2ae15b9900b5d01647e842343baf2c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 14c | 283.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.74 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 32c | 255.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 239.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.45 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Yes | 11c | 220.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +350.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 27c | 219.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 30c | 167.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 161.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 128.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 16c | 115.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 21c | 82.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed No | 66c | 75.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 54c | 61.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 31c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 50.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 76c | 42.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 69c | 39.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 77c | 32.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Yes | 77c | 27.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.