Premier League · resolved market
Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c2a84b8f854302beece147e934a85cc82e1a9651695c5fd23779d9b452414e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 11,759$8,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 64c | 6,277$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.98 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 5,316$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 5,163$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.96 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 36c | 5,000$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.59 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 22c | 3,724$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.34 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 24c | 1,400$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 1,398$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.41 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 26c | 1,090$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.44 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 26c | 675$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 36c | 674.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.85 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 65c | 527.45$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 26c | 312.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 264.16$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 65c | 261.66$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 75c | 247.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 65c | 232.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 72c | 209$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 74c | 165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 74c | 165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 80c | 130.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 67c | 123.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 31c | 82.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 30c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 26c | 61.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked Under | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 27c | 42.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…0ecabacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Under | 40c | 36.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…a96dbacked Under | 45c | 31.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 66c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.