TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c13,555$6,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,771.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over51c4,990$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.7225752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c2,242$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.411,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c1,616$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.784,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c1,429$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c654.31$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.731,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7031backed Over79c650.03$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.52966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under43c416.67$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over60c332.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over51c220.59$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over63c212.89$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.137557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over65c185.4$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330f…423ebacked Over31c181.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over51c165$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c165$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.57640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over37c121.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under55c101$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.721,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over64c100.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.481,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5129259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5132357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under53c93.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0513447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.936259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.927354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over57c89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.931,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over46c87.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3526158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3532255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3530554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3525456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3526058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3532656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3528255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2507…d5f2backed Over65c77.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under40c75.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1710051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9876…e0cabacked Under67c71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.33633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c67.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7774156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.632158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over39c58.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7524158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over58c43.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over64c40.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.927750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.427661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under45c39.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.517327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Under53c37.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under62c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.445442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over79c32.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7915866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.328458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.326259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.323658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.325858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.327758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.325558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.322958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.331359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3312951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.322858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.320556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.317456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Under51c29.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.76953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over58c25.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e74…32c3backed Over49c23.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd34…dbc3backed Over58c20.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553e…5526backed Over57c19.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under61c18.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.269137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.