Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c345695be8c0d8225abc60c8776292bb444a877a64f9540210f31cbe9b8e708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicester City FCof Leicester City FC, Cheltenham Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leicester City FC | 35c | 10,137$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,570.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cheltenham Town FC | 68c | 6,374$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.02 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cheltenham Town FC | 71c | 4,198$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cheltenham Town FC | 70c | 3,670$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cheltenham Town FC | 68c | 2,959$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.28 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Leicester City FC | 31c | 2,258$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.01 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cheltenham Town FC | 37c | 1,249$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.45 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 1,050$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Cheltenham Town FC | 56c | 963.26$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.04 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Leicester City FC | 34c | 655$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Cheltenham Town FC | 70c | 393.34$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Leicester City FC | 33c | 391.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.61 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Leicester City FC | 32c | 325.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Cheltenham Town FC | 73c | 232.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 225$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 210$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 210$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 210$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…d5f2backed Cheltenham Town FC | 52c | 192.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 165$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 165$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cheltenham Town FC | 71c | 140.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Leicester City FC | 33c | 115.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Cheltenham Town FC | 70c | 105.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Leicester City FC | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed Cheltenham Town FC | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Leicester City FC | 31c | 81.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Leicester City FC | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…6a86backed Leicester City FC | 38c | 61.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Leicester City FC | 31c | 61.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Cheltenham Town FC | 72c | 60.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cheltenham Town FC | 67c | 60.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Leicester City FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Cheltenham Town FC | 73c | 58.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Leicester City FC | 41c | 55.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cheltenham Town FC | 54c | 51.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Cheltenham Town FC | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Leicester City FC | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Leicester City FC | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Leicester City FC | 28c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Leicester City FC | 29c | 37.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Leicester City FC | 35c | 32.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Cheltenham Town FC | 68c | 24.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.