Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e8f556efe5f4ee4f6bff062aa5bcd542ee65fe55a3d859c8422b9b1d78a1f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,949 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 61c | 909.17$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.9 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 59c | 878.97$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.68 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 874.57$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 616.94$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 459.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 48c | 210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 61c | 155.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 46c | 108.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 105.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 49.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 40c | 29.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 60c | 29.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 49c | 28.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 55c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 27.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 60c | 24.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked No | 47c | 23.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)Hannover 96 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.