TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, Invictus Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,498 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c38…1218backed Anyone's Legend71c5,158$3,649 inWon+$1,508.8621448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Invictus Gaming30c5,005$1,500 inLost-$1,500.1223547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Invictus Gaming53c2,532$1,345 inLost-$1,345.021,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Anyone's Legend47c1,622$762 inWon+$859.6721939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d8…8d55backed Anyone's Legend71c400$284 inWon+$1169870.4%69 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Invictus Gaming29c400$116 inLost-$11617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Anyone's Legend43c399.11$171 inWon+$228.359151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Anyone's Legend47c365$171 inWon+$193.542,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Anyone's Legend47c319.53$150 inWon+$169.3511141.4%46 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Invictus Gaming60c166.68$100 inLost-$100.0154944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Invictus Gaming56c66.75$37 inLost-$37.117944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Anyone's Legend44c60$27 inWon+$33.36450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Anyone's Legend47c31.92$15 inWon+$17.011,04944.6%468 W · 581 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Invictus Gaming55c20$11 inLost-$116053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Invictus Gaming54c18.68$10 inLost-$10.099254.3%50 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.