Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dce3690242a60d8f2a2629215e9458fd85051468265510e43c39826c369e931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 47c | 1,320$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.6 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 2c | 950.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 60c | 131.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Under | 60c | 111.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 272 | 56.6%154 W · 118 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 64c | 101.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 39c | 81.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 53c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 52c | 71.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0156backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 362 | 44.2%160 W · 202 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 47c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…9555backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.45per pick | 56cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.