Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f50ac1f4d621815ff311e6176fb4a38eed77055e3fac073c57b79616bd5f659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 7,866$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.86 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 5,263$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.55 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 31c | 1,243$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.73 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 589$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 34c | 443.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 36c | 413.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 78c | 258$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 66c | 252$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 203.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 9c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 145.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 124.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 66c | 115$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Under | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 52c | 100.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 66c | 96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 56c | 88.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 84.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 28c | 72.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 66.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 65c | 61.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 34c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 46c | 58.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 41c | 57.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 46c | 54.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 36c | 49.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 34c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 65c | 35.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 70c | 34.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 34c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 32.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 44c | 31.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…99f6backed Under | 63c | 26.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 39c | 25.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Under | 64c | 17.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.