Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcb1df84a8c062012ae2f41643089357e65643120c1eebe6ea9cc85ad1044d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 16c | 609.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 491.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 21c | 414.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 310.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 79c | 146$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 18c | 107.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 79c | 81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 19c | 61.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Over | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.