Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viking FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd821795544068d2368ee4042dbd4e38447022d76eef3198c84316aaa4c626cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,490 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 5,350$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 43c | 4,993$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.07 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 43c | 4,356$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.61 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 57c | 2,789$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 43c | 2,667$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 57c | 2,277$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 26c | 1,174$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.27 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 9c | 291.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 57c | 179.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…c12ebacked Under | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 57c | 84.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 58c | 66.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 57c | 57.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Under | 43c | 56.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 61c | 43.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 36.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 56c | 27.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 26.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Over | 57c | 20.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Viking FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.