Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38c059a0964941af71b130a85df81e8695cb0b2af720702c2689fcf8845481c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 57c | 1,462$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.85 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,210$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 43c | 1,198$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.16 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 895$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 706.34$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.09 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 43c | 460.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Over | 6c | 417.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 5c | 302.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…c25bbacked Under | 60c | 201$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 140.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 10c | 127.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 43c | 92.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 89.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 52c | 88.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 29c | 77.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 43.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 41c | 29.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 21.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 58c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.