Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x886c7c67af526a543fa514fa8faeb0ae1ad53279671e0699178be26cf3706f43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCG Spartansof VMI Keydets, UNCG Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked VMI Keydets | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…8208backed VMI Keydets | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a8a9backed UNCG Spartans | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCG Spartans | 78c | 981.64$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked UNCG Spartans | 78c | 708.64$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed UNCG Spartans | 78c | 617.95$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed UNCG Spartans | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UNCG Spartans | 79c | 237.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked VMI Keydets | 21c | 199.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VMI Keydets | 18c | 139.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked UNCG Spartans | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed VMI Keydets | 22c | 99.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed VMI Keydets | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VMI Keydets | 22c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed VMI Keydets | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed UNCG Spartans | 78c | 85.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNCG Spartans | 79c | 60.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked UNCG Spartans | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked VMI Keydets | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked UNCG Spartans | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked UNCG Spartans | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed UNCG Spartans | 78c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartansthis page
- VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans: O/U 148.5Over won
- VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans: O/U 149.5Over won
- VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartans: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.