Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Teodora Kostovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x592793f4d2d4f5a11ab8bda0fbc950df1a1450c901e65a49e56e9af22debf125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kostovicof Tormo, Kostovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969b…db70backed Tormo | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kostovic | 46c | 6,749$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tormo | 73c | 6,203$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,511.21 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Tormo | 54c | 6,083$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.96 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Kostovic | 46c | 4,444$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.76 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tormo | 41c | 3,390$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.9 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tormo | 38c | 2,532$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.06 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kostovic | 67c | 2,164$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kostovic | 36c | 1,949$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.95 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Kostovic | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Tormo | 52c | 1,940$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tormo | 51c | 1,815$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Tormo | 66c | 1,035$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.76 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Tormo | 53c | 928.97$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.36 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Kostovic | 68c | 818.36$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.77 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Kostovic | 50c | 646.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Kostovic | 72c | 619.31$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Tormo | 50c | 483.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Kostovic | 32c | 444.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kostovic | 46c | 404.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.42 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Tormo | 51c | 390.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tormo | 29c | 371.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kostovic | 47c | 309.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tormo | 56c | 290.29$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Kostovic | 37c | 263.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Kostovic | 6c | 258.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.01 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Kostovic | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kostovic | 44c | 219.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kostovic | 33c | 213.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tormo | 68c | 205.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Kostovic | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kostovic | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Tormo | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tormo | 67c | 199$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Kostovic | 52c | 186.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Tormo | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Kostovic | 45c | 178.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Tormo | 51c | 176.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kostovic | 6c | 174$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Kostovic | 19c | 169.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Tormo | 32c | 165.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Kostovic | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kostovic | 33c | 108.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kostovic | 48c | 103.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Tormo | 72c | 102.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tormo | 45c | 101.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kostovic | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tormo | 52c | 92.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Kostovic | 46c | 86.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Kostovic | 47c | 80.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tormo | 62c | 77.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kostovic | 49c | 76.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Kostovic | 50c | 71.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tormo | 54c | 71.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Kostovic | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Tormo | 57c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tormo | 69c | 65.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tormo | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kostovic | 46c | 61.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Kostovic | 48c | 52.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Kostovic | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tormo | 31c | 51.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Tormo | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Tormo | 54c | 48.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Kostovic | 44c | 47.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kostovic | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Kostovic | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Tormo | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kostovic | 46c | 35.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Tormo | 62c | 32.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kostovic | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Kostovic | 55c | 25.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Kostovic | 46c | 21.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Tormo | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Tormo | 59c | 18.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.