Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb1e6daf17bdeb0243b1301321303a049216738a969a1dfed181fa09a3ac62b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 4c | 28,834$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.9 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 4c | 24,372$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.08 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 15c | 4,418$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.72 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 16c | 4,294$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 15c | 2,755$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.24 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 15c | 2,550$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 1c | 2,184$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 7c | 1,861$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 15c | 1,727$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.04 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 4c | 1,474$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 15c | 1,378$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 14c | 999.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 2c | 988.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed No | 16c | 936.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 15c | 933.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 8c | 631.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 541.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked No | 7c | 511.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed No | 16c | 385.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 7c | 352.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 7c | 226.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed No | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 15c | 217.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed No | 15c | 90.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked No | 14c | 73.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.