Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Yidi Yang vs Kristina Mladenovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b46c27599cf041074cab67fbdba4dbc118af3169d58698a77edbd77924ed76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mladenovicof Yang, Mladenovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mladenovic | 59c | 7,556$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yang | 38c | 4,999$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yang | 52c | 4,104$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.79 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Yang | 53c | 4,002$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.4 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Mladenovic | 47c | 3,023$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.34 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yang | 48c | 2,625$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.09 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Mladenovic | 48c | 2,000$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.16 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mladenovic | 54c | 1,451$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.78 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mladenovic | 66c | 1,398$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.31 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Yang | 36c | 1,293$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.74 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yang | 65c | 1,237$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.13 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yang | 46c | 817$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.36 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mladenovic | 48c | 775.43$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.56 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mladenovic | 43c | 676.46$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Mladenovic | 51c | 638.15$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.15 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Mladenovic | 59c | 548.95$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Yang | 54c | 545.76$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.71 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mladenovic | 63c | 505.27$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yang | 45c | 492.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yang | 54c | 465.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yang | 50c | 464.35$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.47 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yang | 40c | 462.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Yang | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yang | 50c | 350.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mladenovic | 52c | 350.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.13 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yang | 35c | 333$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yang | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Mladenovic | 65c | 284.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mladenovic | 50c | 281.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mladenovic | 46c | 264.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Yang | 43c | 256.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mladenovic | 62c | 255.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yang | 44c | 250.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mladenovic | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mladenovic | 46c | 249.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yang | 15c | 237.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Mladenovic | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yang | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yang | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Yang | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yang | 44c | 160.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Mladenovic | 80c | 125.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Yang | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yang | 31c | 101.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mladenovic | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mladenovic | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yang | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Mladenovic | 68c | 93.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Yang | 47c | 91.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8241…f368backed Yang | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Yang | 54c | 77.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed Yang | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…9664backed Yang | 56c | 62.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mladenovic | 47c | 62.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yang | 34c | 61.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yang | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yang | 45c | 59.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Mladenovic | 48c | 59.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mladenovic | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Mladenovic | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mladenovic | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mladenovic | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…223ebacked Mladenovic | 50c | 34.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yang | 42c | 32.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Mladenovic | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Yang | 50c | 30.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…1720backed Yang | 51c | 30.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +398.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Mladenovic | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Yang | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Mladenovic | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Mladenovic | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Yang | 51c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Mladenovic | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed Mladenovic | 64c | 21.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…0143backed Yang | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.