Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc888113c88908d4252b6fce8a3094259fac743aa4f3cfbc841f356cf9c94b8c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 17c | 887.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 423.04$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 412.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 73c | 259.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 247$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 239.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 22c | 227.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 76c | 211.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 199.87$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…9fedbacked Yes | 18c | 141.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 106.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 81.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 75c | 51.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed No | 74c | 36.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 17.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…648cbacked No | 74c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?this page
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.