Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d835808b62717b0fa23471147eacddb603ba3bb388c8e8617d81130ac0fd43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 983.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.57 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 71c | 773.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 71c | 766.6$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 70c | 195.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 103.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Over | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 83.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 68c | 79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 77.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 46.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 71c | 24.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 69c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…9513backed Over | 70c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.