Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd302cefa801e6834151ebed5de896b75cb703232ae64f84b4e58e4284febf4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 88,978$47,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,819.8 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 47c | 47,500$22,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,325 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 47c | 35,020$16,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,459.21 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 50c | 30,553$15,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,141.13 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.98 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 53c | 12,383$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.03 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 9,221$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 6,306$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 5,309$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.97 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,119$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 4,605$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.28 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 46c | 3,193$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.01 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 2,882$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.18 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 47c | 2,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 2,191$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 2,110$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.7 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 2,064$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.21 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 1,651$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.48 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 1,395$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.58 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 1,218$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.44 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 987.27$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.14 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 47c | 714.04$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 47c | 664.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.55 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 52c | 577.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.37 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 312.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 182$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 169.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Under | 55c | 145.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 47c | 87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 47c | 80.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 54c | 74.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 47c | 62.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 55c | 55.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 51c | 53.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 40.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over | 47c | 37.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…b58cbacked Over | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Under | 55c | 35.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Under | 54c | 31.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Over | 47c | 24.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 46c | 23.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Under | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 139.5this page
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden GophersMaryland Terrapins won
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers (-10.5)Maryland Terrapins won
- Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers (-8.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.