TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde18…83bcbacked Under46c16,294$7,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,486.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c10,744$5,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,852.247,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c5,539$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.2483440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over43c3,134$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.629061.1%55 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under1c2,539$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.393933.3%13 W · 26 L+7.7wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+257.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.998457.1%48 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over57c1,675$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.256342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c1,257$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.912,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over53c999.99$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47226949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over64c999.97$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.993171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7334…f912backed Over55c648.27$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under46c534.78$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24613357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c506.21$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.52,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c449.07$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7543546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under34c420.59$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14398552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18f0…c0f5backed Under46c383.58$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1117850.6%90 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Under6c330.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over67c328.36$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3631661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c316.04$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3654650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under56c301.94$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.016432.8%21 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1293737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over60c280$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under46c232.61$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over55c231.82$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0820241.6%84 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Over55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x839d…592cbacked Under45c199.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over57c180.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.29638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over55c179.09$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.597861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under41c170.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3838747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under30c157.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.523941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c155.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.855,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0081…dc8bbacked Over66c152.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over55c145.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.465777.2%44 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+27.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Under43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9927864.4%179 W · 99 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over57c133.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7811656%65 W · 51 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.398650%43 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over55c108.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8326653.4%142 W · 124 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under44c106.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5550146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x542d…63aebacked Under57c105.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.177964.6%51 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4522727.8%63 W · 164 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4693845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412440.3%50 W · 74 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over35c99.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9916725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c92.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.262,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over56c86.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1367050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over47c82.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.988831.8%28 W · 60 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over55c82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1613653.7%73 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4613653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over55c73.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.873551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under47c70.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.072347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350b…9ba4backed Over46c67.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over57c65.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1512655.6%70 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2214950.3%75 W · 74 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over44c63.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7611520.9%24 W · 91 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under46c58.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.953917.9%7 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over76c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7428349.1%139 W · 144 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over65c56.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9239850%199 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under46c55.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.312934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over56c53.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.162544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over56c49.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.979456.4%53 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c48.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.752,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over55c47.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Under53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-83.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc078…f854backed Over60c45.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676238.7%24 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.827647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9306…cf80backed Over62c40.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177957%45 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6621254.7%116 W · 96 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3618241.8%76 W · 106 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over54c35.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over45c35.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under43c31.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5c1…0101backed Over71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.216750.9%85 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under38c29.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.099557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over55c28.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7910236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c28.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.096972.5%50 W · 19 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c25.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.756959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over55c19.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over77c16.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.