Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d3589096b284d9b06cfba711132e4edfa35d3338fda9aac6ec2ce2c1372d143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 37c | 5,784$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.77 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 63c | 3,531$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.68 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 63c | 2,765$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 63c | 2,002$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 1,692$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.96 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 30c | 1,665$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.15 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,576$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed No | 12c | 899.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 713.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.94 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 72c | 508.92$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.76 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…801dbacked No | 10c | 459.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 294.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 280.85$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 61c | 180$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 38c | 156.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked No | 10c | 152.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 141.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 37c | 127.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 39c | 119.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 63c | 87.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 66c | 86.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 65.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 45.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked No | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 37c | 28.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Arouca (-2.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)FC Arouca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.