MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475416850183c63882a372fa35a9941a4878026348ffd0334aaf84b0543562be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Rangers | 55c | 10,000$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.32 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 47c | 5,367$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 53c | 4,767$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.96 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Tigers | 33c | 3,618$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 42c | 3,566$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.14 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Tigers | 9c | 3,497$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.76 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rangers | 51c | 2,722$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.67 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 69c | 1,919$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Tigers | 16c | 1,869$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 50c | 1,728$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.9 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 35c | 1,654$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Tigers | 47c | 1,649$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.83 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Tigers | 51c | 1,530$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.3 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Tigers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…ac91backed Tigers | 37c | 986.82$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rangers | 50c | 841.26$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.02 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…f391backed Rangers | 49c | 839.93$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tigers | 32c | 787.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 18c | 645.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 50c | 527.62$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.32 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Tigers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 45c | 504.21$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…c5e3backed Rangers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Tigers | 10c | 497.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…030abacked Tigers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…c995backed Rangers | 50c | 484$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…effbbacked Tigers | 51c | 474.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rangers | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Tigers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 49c | 296.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Rangers | 51c | 254.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Tigers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tigers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rangers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Rangers | 74c | 196.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Tigers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 52c | 193.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Tigers | 16c | 144.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Tigers | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Rangers | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Tigers | 47c | 126$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rangers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Rangers | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 49c | 102.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d298backed Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…f10ebacked Rangers | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Rangers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Tigers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rangers | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Tigers | 41c | 62.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…6ee0backed Rangers | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tigers | 47c | 42.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Rangers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Tigers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 29c | 37.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…187abacked Rangers | 50c | 36.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rangers | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…c92bbacked Tigers | 52c | 31.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 50c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Rangers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…576fbacked Tigers | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…ac06backed Tigers | 40c | 25.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Rangers | 70c | 24.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tigers | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…bb6bbacked Tigers | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 73c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.