MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ef3c172c752aea4766f73d7128b6177e79364d242ebee6ba4cb25f6557f4d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Brewers, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x517f…a36dbacked Brewers | 46c | 33,680$15,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,492.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…b5fabacked Rays | 54c | 32,680$17,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,032.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Brewers | 47c | 21,656$10,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,178.51 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rays | 53c | 9,986$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.42 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rays | 53c | 9,665$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,542.55 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…1d57backed Rays | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd5…6962backed Brewers | 46c | 4,700$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 56c | 3,472$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 49c | 1,315$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 52c | 1,131$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Brewers | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers | 40c | 910$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.39 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Brewers | 66c | 762.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rays | 53c | 738.73$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 46c | 639.45$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Brewers | 47c | 628.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Brewers | 48c | 628.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 52c | 599.38$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Rays | 53c | 570$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers | 48c | 541.62$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Brewers | 60c | 512.17$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.26 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 45c | 501.45$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 55c | 433.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 44c | 420.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Brewers | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Brewers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Rays | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Rays | 53c | 380.26$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 70c | 303.7$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rays | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rays | 57c | 298.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 45c | 251.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Brewers | 16c | 245.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Brewers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Rays | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 48c | 206.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…1033backed Rays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Rays | 55c | 183.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Rays | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Brewers | 61c | 140.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Rays | 44c | 137.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Rays | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Rays | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Brewers | 75c | 109$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a2f6backed Rays | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 53c | 91.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 49c | 90.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…3e67backed Brewers | 59c | 85.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 47c | 84.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 43c | 80.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…b17bbacked Rays | 32c | 77.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 51c | 71.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rays | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rays | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Brewers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Brewers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 45c | 44.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…7245backed Rays | 55c | 44.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Brewers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…02cfbacked Rays | 55c | 38.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…ccf4backed Brewers | 48c | 38.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Rays | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…93ddbacked Brewers | 69c | 34.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Brewers | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…d5d7backed Rays | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rays | 51c | 29.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rays | 55c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rays | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.