Fifa International · resolved market
Adam Hložek: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc23732c4cbc738df1422834c918e5e307234d7294e2a3ed123b8c450baa701c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 78c | 969.11$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 77c | 739.7$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 78c | 395.77$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 68c | 384.76$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 342.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 20c | 291.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…b568backed Yes | 24c | 255.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…7435backed Yes | 23c | 86.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 67.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…edebbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 78c | 26.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…8677backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed No | 80c | 16.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adam Hložek: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adam Hložek: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adam Hložek: 3+ goalsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 1+ goalsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 1+ shotsNo won
- Denis Višinský: 3+ goalsNo won
- Evidence Makgopa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Iqraam Rayners: 1+ goalsNo won
- Iqraam Rayners: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jan Kuchta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ladislav Krejčí: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ladislav Krejčí: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Provod: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lukáš Provod: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Provod: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lukáš Provod: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lukáš Červ: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lyle Foster: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mojmír Chytil: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mojmír Chytil: 1+ shotsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 1+ goalsNo won
- Oswin Appollis: 3+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 1+ assistsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 2+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 1+ shotsNo won
- Pavel Šulc: 2+ shotsNo won
- Themba Zwane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tomáš Chorý: 1+ assistsNo won
- Tomáš Chorý: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tomáš Souček: 1+ goalsNo won
- Vladimír Darida: 1+ shotsYes won
- Vladimír Darida: 2+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.