Fifa International · resolved market
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6071c10de9476f345422706d93a9fe531b43d6c42b2fda78c77bffa8a0b3520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 3,938$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 26c | 1,971$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.7 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 25c | 1,264$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over | 7c | 1,240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 17c | 782.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 568.05$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 567.17$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 448$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 24c | 441.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…2309backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 347.23$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 24c | 308.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 76c | 300.58$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 23c | 299$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 13c | 208.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c1…13cabacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 65cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 77c | 116.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 75c | 100.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 75c | 90.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 76c | 63.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 76c | 50.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 49.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 77c | 40.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 76c | 36.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Under | 76c | 36.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 75c | 28.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 77c | 25.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 76c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 19.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 75c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5this page
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.